Rome 2017 Predictions
Correct predictions are in green while incorrect predictions are in red
Daily Prediction Results: 31/52 (60%)
Full Draw Prediction Results: 21/55 (38%)
Halep d. Svitolina in three – Preview
Halep d. Bertens in two – Halep won their previous encounter in Wimbledon and I can’t see what damage Bertens will do to the Romanian unless she’s playing at a really, really high level.
Muguruza d. Svitolina in three – I’ll try to get a preview for this one!
Halep d. Kontaveit in three – Halep has played two three-set matches since her trip from Madrid so not sure if she’ll be tired but she has been on fire on the dirt. I could see Kontaveit taking a set though.
Bertens d. Gavrilova in two – Haven’t seen Bertens playing yet but she seems comfortable with straight set wins over Bellis and Makarova. Gavrilova is playing at a high level in Rome, mixing up the variety and disturbing her opponent’s play. I could see Gavrilova extend her awesome Rome record but instinct is with Bertens.
Muguruza d. Williams in three – Muguruza is getting better match by match, a straight sets win over Goerges when she came back from deficits in both sets proves it. It will be much tougher against Venus who only commited 15 errors in a huge win over Konta but I think Muguruza is brimming with confidence right now.
Pliskova d. Svitolina in three – Preview
Round 3 (5/8)
Kontaveit d. Lucic-Baroni in three – Kontaveit played a brilliant match against Kerber yesterday. She will face a much tougher test in Lucic-Baroni who hits the ball as hard as her. It will probably come down to who misses more on the day itself.
Halep d. Pavlyuchenkova in three – Halep notched her first win over Laura Siegemund where the match was majority filled by breaks. Halep actually leads Pavlyuchenkova in the HTH 6-0, but she has said she was tired from Madrid and her first serve was noticeably soft. The upset could take place but I’ll stay safe with Halep.
Bertens d. Makarova in two – The three times Makarova has won back-to-back matches this year, she had always beaten Cibulkova! Bertens’ specialty is the clay, plus I’m not convinced by Makaova’s level, so going for the Dutch player in straights.
Kuznetsova d. Gavrilova in three – Once again Gavrilova is playing well in Rome, however her opponent today, Kuznetsova, has not lost to her before and I think the Russian will be able to deal with Gavrilova’s variety.
Konta d. Williams in three – Konta leads the HTH 3-1 but the pair has not played on clay. Not a clue as both players don’t excel on the dirt but I feel that Konta will just scrape through this one.
Muguruza d. Goerges in three – Both players had encouraging three-set wins against Ostapenko and Jankovic; it was especially important for Muguruza to grab the win coming into the match on a three match losing streak. Hopefully she has gained some confidence from that and I’ll go for her to win this.
Barthel d. Svitolina in three – Barthel’s winning streak just keeps continuing on and on while Svitolina endured much tougher times in her second round who had to save set points in the second against Alize Cornet. Svitolina after that withdrew from doubles so I’m not sure how she’s feeling right now!
Pliskova d. Bacsinszky in three – This is a golden opportunity for Pliskova to make her first deep run on the clay, she leads the HTH 3-2 against Bacsinszky but the Swiss won their previous match on clay. Tough to call but I think Pliskova has the confidence from her previous round where she only lost one point on her first serve.
Round 2 (9/15)
Kerber d. Kontaveit in three – Kerber retired in Madrid, but is back in Rome healthy and ready to play. She will face a tough opener in the form of Kontaveit, who has already won 27 matches this year and reached a final in Biel and had qualified for the main draw. I think Kerber will just scrape through this and hopefully again more confidence.
Sharapova d. Lucic-Baroni in three – The pair are meeting for the second time in two weeks, the Russian winning their encounter in Madrid 4-6 6-4 6-0. It was a close one and Lucic-Baroni was just missing the lines on the important shots. The slower conditions than Madrid will not suit Lucic-Baroni but I’m still sticking with this match being a tight affair.
Pavlyuchenkova d. Sevastova in three – Pavlyuchenkova has won all four previous meetings between them, but Sevastova is handier on the clay. Difficult to decide.
Siegemund d. Halep in three – Generally, Halep has never done well in Rome whenever she makes the semifinals. Furthermore Siegemund has won their two previous encounters on the clay. Upset alert.
Cibulkova d. Makarova in three – Makarova has rarely made it far in any tournament throughout the season, but when she has she has beaten Cibulkova! Makarova should. e ready for this but this looks like another three-set match where Cibulkova’s mental toughness will shine through.
Bertens d. Bellis in two – Both can beat one another on any fine day, going for Bertens who’s successes has always come on clay.
Gavrilova d. Garcia in two – Both came through three-set epics in the previous round; Garcia came through two tiebreak sets against Vekic while Gavrilova needed three to beat a stubborn Madison Keys. Gavrilova said Rome ‘felt like home’ and she has played well in Rome in the past two editions. This should happen again.
Kuznetsova d. Siniakova in two -Â Siniakova endured a close encounter with Zhang, edging it out in a third set tiebreak. It will be much more diffcult with a clay-loving Kuznetsova and I think she can take it without too much difficulty.
Konta d. Putintseva in three -Â I went for Konta to make the semifinals of Rome and her first opponent’s Putintseva. Putintseva fought off a comeback against Monica Puig in round 1, but she has not been convincing of late.
Williams d. Tsurenko in two – Williams was convincing against Shvedova, probably the same would occur against Tsurenko.
Jankovic d. Goerges in three – Went for Jankovic because she generally plays well in Rome and leads the HTH 4-1, but both can be equally erratic.
Muguruza d. Ostapenko in three – Another player who is coming into Rome in need of confidence and wins, Muguruza faces a difficult opener in Ostapenko. Rome was where Muguruza’s season sparked with a semifinal appearance. I’m not convinced my Muguruza at all but my gut is that she will barely pass this test.
Cornet d. Svitolina in three – Cornet notched a good win over Errani; and she’s the type of players that Svitolina struggle with – loads of variety but not a lot of pace. Furthermore Cornet leads the HTH 2-1 and maybe could cause the upset.
Barthel d. Wang in two – Another match which their on court performance would probably determine the score, going for Barthel who is on a ten match winning streak.
Strycova d. Bacsinszky in three – Another on the fence match, I would think Bacsinszky has the edge in this match up but Strycova leads the HTH 4-0! Strycova benefitted from a retirement from Kasatkina when she was supposedly going to lose, she should play better here.
Pliskova d. Davis in three – Never convinced with Pliskova on clay and she has been disappointing on the clay, managing a 2-3 record. In Davis she could overpower her, but on the clay you never know when Pliskova’a movement will Â fail her. On the fence.
Round 1 (13/23)
Kontaveit d. Petkovic in three – Both are qualifiers and have already played two matches in the Eternal City. Kontaveit has been on form so far with a final in Biel and quarterfinals in Stuttgart.
Sharapova d. McHale in two – Sharapova has won all their previous encounters between them and McHale is on a three match losing streak.
Lucic-Baroni d. Safarova in three – Both players are merciless hitters – and both like the clay! It’s tough to pick but Safarova has been a little ill, withdrawing from Prague and losing her opener in Madrid.
Pavlyuchenkova d. Stosur in three – Another matchup that’s really tough to predict. Stosur seems to have gotten a form back a little in Madrid, pushing eventual winner Simona Halep to three sets. Pavlyuchenkova has already won a title on the clay, in Rabat. The Russian leads the HTH 3-2.
Begu d. Sevastova in three – Both are brilliant clay courters, and Sevastova reached the semifinals of Madrid. However Begu has a good record at this tournament, reaching the semifinals last year.
Siegemund d. Osaka in three – It’s Osaka’s first tournament on outdoor red clay after having to withdraw from Prague and Madrid due to an injury. With more experience on the clay, Siegemund should take it but it could be an encounter to watch.
Vinci d. Makarova in three – Makarova leads their head to head 4-3, but has been in a dire state of form having not won back-to-back matches since Dubai. Vinci reached the third round in Madrid, having pushed eventual winner Simona Halep to three sets. Vinci has not been convincing this year but the home crowds should push her to a victory.
Bellis d. Doi in three – Bellis qualified for the main draw after wins over a wildcard, Trevisan and Sara Sorribes Tormo while Doi is coming off a round of 16 appearance in Madrid, losing to Sorana Cirstea. I like this draw for Bellis and Doi, the winner could go far in Rome if they’re in their best form.
Niculescu d. Bertens in three – Bertens finally managed to find some form last week, reaching the quarterfinals of the Premier Mandatory tournament. However Niculescu has won their two previous meetings and has a game that would frustrate Bertens if she is not in her best form.
Keys d. Gavrilova in three – Qualifier Gavrilova has been dealt with one of the toughest draws among the qualifiers. Both have a great record in Rome, but Keys has won their two previous encounters. Could see it going the distance with Keys not at home on clay in this season.
Garcia d. Vekic in two – Garcia has been having a difficult year with all the French drama and injuries, but this draw is a golden opportunity for her to make a run at a big tournament.
Siniakova d. Zhang in two – Clay’s not Zhang’s surface, posing a 1-4 record on the dirt this year. Siniakova only dropped three games in their previous meeting in Japan.
Puig d. Putintseva in two – Both can throw in an erratic performance if they’re not at their best – Putintseva is 3-7 since her St.Petersburg finalist appearance, while Puig threw away leads in her last two losses to Daria Kasatkina and Lauren Davis. Puig can throw Putinseva off with her firepower though.
Tsurenko d. Chisea in two – Tsurenko is on a seven match losing streak since her Acapulco triumph – the wins have not been coming even though she has been playing well! I like this draw for Tsurenko and she could make come impact in the Eternal City.
Williams d. Shvedova in three – It’s Venus’ first match on the red clay, having withdrew from Madrid due to injuries. It means she’s vulnerable but Shvedova is one who certainly can take advantage of that, but she has had a horrible year so far with a 2-7 record. This could go the distance.
Mladenovic d. Goerges in three – I’m surprised Mladenovic hasn’t withdrew from Rome after seemingly suffering from a back injury. This could be a hard hitting match but my instinct is with Mladenovic to snatch the match away.
Riske d. Jankovic in three – Another player who has been playing decently but the wins have not come for her, Jankovic is coming off a heartbreaking loss to Dominika Cibulkova in Madrid. Riske also lost a heartbreaker to Svetlana Kuznetsova, having had a match point. Riske has been competing well on the dirt this year so going with her.
Rogers d. Ostapenko in three – Originally I liked the draw for Rogers, with Mladenovic injured and Muguruza in pretty bad form. However the qualifier she has to play is Ostapenko, definitely dangerous! It’s a first time match up but Rogers plays well on the clay.
Errani d. Cornet in three – Cornet won their previous match on the grass, a long epic battle. It could be even messier on the clay but Errani has been gaining the confidence with a good week in Rabat.
Barthel d. Peng in two – Barthel is on a ten match winning streak, having won the title in Prague and qualified for Rome. Peng is not the most comfortable on clay; going with Barthel to continue her winning ways.
Wang d. Vesnina in three – Vesnina is not on home on clay while Wang has been having great runs in Prague and Madrid.
Kasatkina d. Strycova in three – Kasatkina has now lost her last two matches in Stuttgart and Madrid. Strycova has had a steady year on the clay so far, should be an exciting one.
Bacsinszky d. Babos in two – Battle of the Timeas, Bacsinszky is more comfortable on the clay.
Suarez Navarro d. Davis in two – I’ve went for Suarez Navarro to reach the final in Rome this week, I hope she doesn’t disappoint me with a disappointing performance against Davis!
Full Draw Predictions (will be updated after qualifiers & lucky losers have been placed)