Mutua Madrid Open Predictions
Correct predictions are in green while incorrect predictions are in red
Daily Prediction Results: 38/61 (62%)
Full Draw Prediction Results: 32/63 (51%)
Halep d. Mladenovic in three – Preview
Kuznetsova d. Mladenovic in three – Preview
Halep d. Sevastova in two – In their two previous meetings, Sevastova has only won four games in total. It should be a tighter contest but clay Halep should be able to get it done.
Kuznetsova d. Bouchard in three – Kuznetsova has won the two previous encounters between them and even though Bouchard is playing at a high level this week, a solid Kuznetsova display would probably see her through.
Mladenovic d. Cirstea in three – Mladenovic had a solid, consistent win over an erratic Dodin while Cirstea has made back-to-back quarterfinals in Madrid. Could be close but Mladenovic has been playing brilliantly on the clay this year and is a solid contender for the title.
Halep d. Vandeweghe in two – Halep played fantastic tennis against Stosur, finishing with doubled the winners to unforced errors! She should be able to get the win over Vandeweghe who is playing good tennis this week but can be equally erratic. (I went against Vandeweghe in every match in Madrid but she made it all the way to the QFs so…)
Bertens d. Sevastova in two – Bertens was playing at a high, aggressive level against Begu yesterday. If she keeps it up, she should be able to beat Sevastova who needed four set points in the first set to beat Arruabarrena. If her high level continues she is one of the contenders to make a run at the French Open.
Round 3 (5/7)
Kerber d. Bouchard in three – Preview
Kuznetsova d. Wang in two – Wang’s good form has been brought to the clay courts, qualifying and making it into the third round of Madrid. Kuznetsova won their previous encounter in three sets. Expecting it to be more comfortable for the Russian where the conditions suit her.
Mladenovic d. Dodin in three – Mladenovic plays better on the clay and she should win even though Dodin is brimming with confidence right now.
Cirstea d. Doi in two – Both players had comfortable straight set wins; Cirstea is one to look out for in Madrid after making the quarterfinals last year. She is one step away from repeating that performance.
Suarez Navarro d. Vandeweghe in three – Suarez Navarro needed three sets to beat her two opponents – Peng Shuai and Caroline Wozniacki. Vandewghe also needed three to defeat Laura Siegemund in a topsy turvy encounter. Conditions and crowds will suit the Spaniard so probably she can get the win?
Halep d. Stosur in three – Preview
Begu d. Bertens in three – Begu is another Romanian who always does well in Madrid, but Bertens had a sprited performance against Bacsinszky yesterday. This whole tournament predictions has been a mess for me so I’m once against on the fence for this!
Sevastova d. Arruabarrena in three – Both had brilliant wins in round 2; Sevastova had the more comfortable one against Pliskova but Arruabarrena had the more challenging win. With the crowd on her side, Arruabarrena could get the win but Sevastova has mentioned the surface and conditions suit her really well. On the fence.
Round 2 (8/16)
Kerber d. Siniakova in two – Kerber had a pretty convincing win over Babos, she played better on the big points and her level was higher than in Stuttgart. Against Siniakova, I could expect more of a struggle from Kerber, but having won her last two encounters against the Czech, she should be able to get the win.
Sharapova d. Bouchard in two – I want to see the handshake and how loud will Sharapova’s grunting be but it starts at 2 a.m. in my time zone 😦
Zheng d. Wang in three – Both Wang and Zheng defied their higher ranked opponents to set the up the match between fellow Chinese players. Zheng impressed me in her match against Svitolina; I’ll pick her to win.
Kuznetsova d. Riske in two – The draw is setting up so nicely for Kuznetsova it’s hard to see that she won’t progress into the semis! The Russian leads the head to head 4-1 but Riske won their previous enecounter in Tianjin.
Cibulkova d. Dodin in two – Cibulkova survived a scare against Jankovic and should be more settled in her encounter against Dodin.
Mladenovic d. Davis in two – Mladenovic is a difficult force to beat on clay. Furthermore Davis has never gotten a set off the Frenchwoman in two previous meetings.
Cirstea d. Bellis in three – I’ll need to see Bellis playing on the clay for once before I can pick her! Both had tough three set wins in the first round.
Doi d. Vekic in two – The winner of this match (and the above one) and beneficaries of the seeds tumbling out mean that Cirstea, Bellis, Doi or Vekic will come into the quarterfinals. Out of these four names, Doi makes me most confident.
Siegemund d. Vandeweghe in two – Siegemund should win this on the clay. Vandeweghe would probably get annoyed by Siegemund’s drop shots and antics!
Wozniacki d. Suarez Navarro in three – Wozniacki endured a 3 hour thirty minute marathon against Niculescu. Suarez Navarro also had a comeback against Peng – my first instinct was the Spaniard but I decided to go for a safer pick in Woz.
Stosur d. Duque-Marino in two – Managing to avoid Goerges who has a 4-1 advantage over her, Stosur better win this.
Halep d. Vinci in two – Vinci has two wins over Halep but her most recent victory came in 2013. On the dirt, Halep should own this match up.
Bacsinszky d. Bertens in two – Didn’t catch a glimpse of Bertens of her win against Makarova. Bacsinszky was pretty convincing in her win against Muguruza (even though much of the time it was Muguruza making mistakes!) and I’ll go for her this time too.
Begu d. Larsson in two – Begu had a briliant win over Vesnina. After reaching the quarterfinals in Madrid for the past two years, I’m sold on her reaching that stage again.
Strycova d. Arruabarrena in three – With the crowd on her side and playing on her more favoured surface, Arruabarrena could get a set but Strycova should ultimately get the win.
Ka.Pliskova d. Sevastova in three – Sevastova could make Pliskova frustrated with her drop shots and slices – not even confident about this pick!
Round 1 (20/31)
Kerber d. Babos in two – Kerber has had Babos’ number every time they played, leading the head to head 4-0. The faster clay should suit Kerber but she has lost her last three matches in Madrid.
Siniakova d. Parmentier in three – Parmentier had a hard fought win over Sara Errani yesterday qualifying. Could see it going either way with Parmentier already suited to the conditions.
Cornet d. Bouchard in three – Preview
Sharapova d. Lucic-Baroni in three – Lucic-Baroni will be the highest ranked player Sharapova has played since her return. Lucic-Baroni certainly has the power to beat Sharapova but the latter’s mental strength could be crucial in this encounter.
Svitolina d. Zheng in two – Zheng is one of those players Svitolina can’t get rhythm against. Furthermore the Chinese player is on a hot streak in the ITF. At least one tough set but Svitolina should progress.
Wang d. Garcia in three – Garcia is so inconsistent this year that it’s really tough to predict her matches. Going for the more solid Wang.
Riske d. Golubic in three – Golubic has a disappointing 3-9 win-loss record this year, while Riske seems to be improving on clay.
Kuznetsova d. Shvedova in two – Shvedova has only won two matches this whole season and Kuznetsova is a former champion in Madrid.
Cibulkova d. Jankovic in two – Jankovic leads the head to head 3-2 but it’s a whole different story with Jankovic lacking in confidence having only five WTA main draw wins this year.
Petkovic d. Dodin in three – Qualifier vs qualifier, have slightly more faith with Petkovic on the clay.
Davis d. Puig in three – Puig had two tiebreak matches in the exhibition match and should be adapated to the surface. However she hasn’t won back to back matches since Acapulco in March. Davis has hit somewhat of a roadblock too after her Auckland triumph, having lost her three previous matches. The American has won their two previous encounters though.
Mladenovic d. Konjuh in three – Recent form and surface points to Mladenovic clinching the win, but Konjuh leads the head to head 2-0.
Pavlyuchenkova d. Cirstea in two – As of writing now Pavlyuchenkova is going to play in the Rabat final soon, not really sure if she has enough in the tank to get a couple of wins here in Madrid. But one should probably come against Cirstea.
Gavrilova d. Bellis in three – Don’t really have any evidence to prove my prediction correct!
Putintseva d. Vekic in three – Putintseva is on a rough spell these days. Not really a fan of Vekic’s game as it could go haywire anytime. Could go either way.
Keys d. Doi in two – Doi is also another player on a losing streak, having lost her last five matches. Keys played well on the clay last year and should be coming into the clay swing with more confidence.
Siegemund d. Konta in three – High on Siegemund after her Stuttgart victory. The faster clay in Madrid is somewhat like in Stuttgart, while Konta has been unconvincing on the clay this year. Probably an upset here.
Kontaveit d. Vandeweghe in two – Kontaveit got a lucky loser spot even though she lost in the final round of qualifying. Liking her chances here against Vandeweghe.
Suarez Navarro d. Peng in three – Their previous encounters all came in 2008 where Peng won two out of three matches. Clay would suit Carla better though.
Wozniacki d. Niculescu in two – Wozniacki has won all seven previous meetings between them.
Stosur d. Sorribes Tormo in two – It should be a comfortable win for Stosur, but you never know with the Australian!
Goerges d. Duque-Marino in two – Goerges for the win.
Kasatkina d. Vinci in three – The clay in Madrid is faster which might not really suit Kasatkina, but Vinci is struggling to win matches so far this year.
Halep d. Kr.Pliskova in two – Pliskova is coming from a final run in Prague. Halep should win this.
Muguruza d. Bacsinszky in three – Preview
Bertens d. Makarova in three – Both players have garnered a meagre nine wins this year, Bertens having lost 12 matches while Makarova has an even record with nine losses. I’ll fancy Bertens to perform better on the clay though.
Larsson d. Schiavone in three – Could be a tough turnaround for Schiavone after her Rabat endeavours.
Begu d. Vesnina in three – Begu was shocking in Istanbul and Rabat, performing really badly wherever I got to watch her on the live streams. The surface will suit her though where she reached the quarterfinals last year.
Strycova d. Safarova in two – Safarova is back after withdrawing from Prague so not sure if she has recovered fully.
Arruabarrena d. McHale in two – Arruabarrena won their previous meeting in Beijing qualifying. McHale’s last loss came to No.160 Martincova, while Arruabarrena’s last tournament was a run to the Bogota final.
Sevastova d. Zhang in three – Both of their previous meetings were on the dirt, where they’re tied at one win apiece. The surface suits Sevastova to a tee and should be able to get the win.
Ka.Pliskova d. Tsurenko in two – Pliskova has recorded a 1-2 win-loss record on clay so far, while the pair are tied in their head to head at 2 wins apiece. However Tsurenko has lost her last six matches after her Acapulco triumph, and the faster clay surface should suit Pliskova.
Full Draw Predictions