After all the rain delays, upsets and craziness this week in the Rogers Cup, we still have a seeded final installed for us in Caroline Wozniacki and Elina Svitolina. Wozniacki will be looking for her first title of the year, while it will be Svitolina’s fifth if she wins. Who will be the victor?
(6) Caroline Wozniacki [No.6]
Route to this stage
R2: d. Ekaterina Alexandrova, 6-3 6-0
R3: d. Agnieszka Radwanska, 6-3 6-1
QF: d. Karolina Pliskova, 7-5 6-7(3) 6-4
SF: d. Sloane Stephens, 6-2 6-3
Caroline Wozniacki has had a stellar year, amassing 46 wins by reaching finals in Doha, Dubai, Miami, Eastbourne and Bastad, but is lacking an elusive title after having not won a set in any of her previous finals. Will she be able to do it in Toronto? Her form suggests she can definitely do so. The Dane notched her first win in Toronto in her entire career against Ekaterina Alexandrova, then beat Agnieszka Radwanska, World No.1 Karolina Pliskova and Sloane Stephens enroute to the final. Also, with or without the title, Wozniacki has a mathematical possibility to become World No.1 in Cincinnati next week.
(5) Elina Svitolina [No.5]
Route to this stage
R2: d. Daria Kasatkina, 7-6(4) 6-4
R3: d. Venus Williams, 6-2 6-1
QF: d. Garbine Muguruza, 4-6 6-4 6-3
SF: d. Simona Halep, 6-1 6-1
It is admirable how Elina Svitolina hasn’t been at her best all tournament but she has gritted through all of her matches to proceed into her third Premier 5 level of the year. Enduring a ‘disappointing’ grass court swing where she only won three matches, Svitolina turned her fortunes around in Toronto where she claimed three Top 10 wins over Venus Williams, Garbine Muguruza and Simona Halep. She didn’t have a positive W-UFE ratio in any of the three matches but she hung in there and forced her opponents into more errors. Against Wozniacki it will be a tough task too and having played two matches the previous day I wonder if that will affect Svitolina. The Ukrainian also has a chance to become World No.1 in Cincinnati no matter the result in Toronto…
Head to head: Svitolina leads the head to head 2-0, and won their only match-up in Dubai this year 6-4 6-2 where Wozniacki was understandably fatigued.
Stat: Svitolina is 14-0 in Premier 5 tournaments this year (won Dubai, Rome). Svitolina is 4-0 in finals this season while Wozniacki is at the end of the spectrum at 0-5.
Thoughts: I seriously can’t decide 🤷♂️ Both players have been at their consistent, solid self during the tournament and the conditions suit both players perfectly. I obviously have to decide and I’ll go with Wozniacki. Her first title this year is definitely due soon and she’s the fresher one with Svitolina playing two matches yesterday. If Wozniacki plays with a little more aggression and continue to run down the balls to make Svitolina commit more errors, I can see her notching her first win against the Ukrainian.